Russland hat keine aggressiven Absichten – US-Strategiepapier erklärt die wahren Gründe der US – Politik

Andreas Heil on Facebook wrote:

Favoriten  · 23 Std.  ·

A key paper to understand who wages war on whom for what reasons and employing which means.

Overextending and Unbalancing Russia

ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF COST-IMPOSING OPTIONS

by rand.org 2019, current update of a paper series, starting 1972

Key issues explained by Thomas Röper below in german language:

anti-spiegel.ru

26. Juni 2019

Russland hat keine aggressiven Absichten – US-Strategiepapier erklärt die wahren Gründe der US-Politik – Anti-Spiegel

https://www.anti-spiegel.ru/2019/russland-hat-keine-aggressiven-absichten-us-strategiepapier-erklaert-die-wahren-gruende-der-us-politik/

Forward to the USSR and Operation Z+

Forward to the USSR and Operation Z+

By Batiushka for The Saker Blog

May 04, 2022

http://thesaker.is/forward-to-the-ussr-and-operation-z/

On 28 April 2022 President Lukashenko of Belarus spoke of a possible coming together of various independent countries, former Soviet republics, to join the Russian Federation and Belarus in a ‘Union State’. (https://www.reporter.am/the-former-soviet-republics-may-also-be-part-of-the-union-state-lukashenko/). Then, on 3 May President Putin and President Lukashenko discussed the construction of this Union State further. (https://news.mail.ru/politics/51151818/?frommail=1).

In 1991 the Soviet Union, the successor of the Russian Empire, suddenly collapsed in a remarkably similar way to the way in which the former suddenly collapsed in 1917 and on orders from exactly the same transatlantic financial and political circles. No coincidence. Since then the territory concerned, the heartland of Northern Eurasia, like much of the rest of the world has been in chaos, with poverty, injustice and war. Geopolitically, the formation of a Sovereign Union (not Soviet Union) of the peoples and nations of Northern Eurasia is now perhaps the only way of overcoming the vacuum created, which has been at the root of planetary chaos since 1991.

Northern Eurasia, whatever it has been called, is, like it or not, marked by its central and by far its largest nation, the Russian. This is the only one capable of bringing together the sovereign states of the many and varied peoples who live in this continuous intercontinental land-area for peace and justice. Indeed, many look to Russia to carry out precisely this task and so to rescue them from the present disorder of Western ‘divide and rule’ politics, the resulting Western exploitation of their natural resources and oppression of Western-loving oligarchs.  (…)

Statement by the Presidents of the European Commission and the European Council on Russian aggression against Ukraine

Statement|22 February 2022|Brussels

Statement by the Presidents of the European Commission and the European Council on Russian aggression against Ukraine

https://archive.is/Ml6IU#selection-233.0-363.64

Page contents

The decision of the Russian Federation to recognise as independent entities and send Russian troops to certain areas of Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts is illegal and unacceptable. It violates international law, Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty, Russia’s own international commitments and it further escalates the crisis.

Both Presidents welcome the steadfast unity of Member States and their determination to react with robustness and speed to the illegal actions of Russia in close coordination with international partners.

An informal meeting of EU Foreign Affairs Ministers chaired by the High Representative will take place today at 4 pm. Following that, a first package of sanctions will be formally tabled later this afternoon.

Appropriate bodies will then meet to finalise the package without delay.

The package contains proposals:

  • to target those who were involved in the illegal decision,
  • to target banks that are financing Russian military and other operations in those territories,
  • to target the ability of the Russian state and government to access the EU’s capital and financial markets and services, to limit the financing of escalatory and aggressive policies,
  • and to target trade from the two breakaway regions to and from the EU, to ensure that those responsible clearly feel the economic consequences of their illegal and aggressive actions.

The EU has prepared and stands ready to adopt additional measures at a later stage if needed in the light of further developments.

Both Presidents supported by the High Representative continue to follow closely developments on the ground and consult with fellow EU leaders and international counterparts.

The Union remains in full solidarity with Ukraine and united in support for its sovereignty and territorial integrity.

We stand by and will continue to support Ukraine and its people.

Russia recognition of the LDNR – a few initial thoughts — The Vineyard of the Saker

I listened to the full Russian Security Council meeting, then to Putin’s address to the nation, then the signing of the the treaties on cooperation and mutual support. The first

Russia recognition of the LDNR – a few initial thoughts — The Vineyard of the Saker

Russia-Ukraine conflict: America needs a better idea than NATO expansion to keep the peace

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2021/12/14/ukraine-russia-nato-expansion/6494016001/

Russia-Ukraine conflict: America needs a better idea than NATO expansion to keep the peace

Dec 14, 2021

Ukraine and other former Soviet republics are proud countries. They are not, with all due respect, places we should send U.S. troops to fight and die.

Michael O’Hanlon  |  Opinion contributor

Can it really be true, at this date in 2021, that large-scale war in Europe is again possible?  Why are about 100,000 Russian troops massing near their country’s border with neighboring Ukraine – a country with which Russia shares a close history, religion, culture and previous membership in the Soviet Union? And most of all, what can the United States and allies do about the situation?

President Joe Biden has taken the Russian troop buildup seriously, as he should. His call last week with President Vladimir Putin provided a good start to crisis management. Warning Putin about much more severe economic punishment than Russia has experienced to date, if it should invade Ukraine, Biden struck the right balance. He appears to have avoided ill-advised threats to start World War III over a distant part of Europe not integral to core American security, yet sent an unmistakable message of firmness. 

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U.S. and European Union sanctions imposed over the past seven years, since Russia grabbed back Crimea back from Ukraine with its “little green men” attack and then fomented a separatist revolt in Ukraine’s east (that has since killed at least 13,000), have kept the Russian economy on its back. Its gross domestic product growth has for a decade averaged just about 1% a year

I would have preferred that Biden be even more specific about the types of new sanctions and related steps we might consider – for example, he could have promised that NATO would fund construction of more liquid natural gas terminals in Western Europe to reduce the region’s need for Russian gas, should Putin choose war. But the message was still well delivered, in a calm yet firm manner, and the past seven years of previous policy give it credibility.

NATO membership won’t prevent war

However, we need to think bigger. The crisis this year arose partly because Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently asked NATO to bring his country into the Western alliance soon. He wonders why we have not done so. After all, back in 2008 during the Bush administration, the United States and NATO allies promised they would in fact someday invite Ukraine and Georgia into NATO  – though they provided no timetable and no interim security help, in effect painting a bullseye on the back of both countries. Putin has been sure to keep them unstable, and thus ineligible for NATO membership, ever since. (…)

Full text here:

This Is How the U.S. Does ‘Dialogue’ — The Vineyard of the Saker

Washington will not consider Russian proposals on no expansion of NATO, and has no intention of even discussing the idea. So much for “dialogue”. by Pepe Escobar, posted with the

This Is How the U.S. Does ‘Dialogue’ — The Vineyard of the Saker

Pepe ESCOBAR Steppe in Flammen: Kasachstans farbige Revolution

strategic-culture.org

Quelle: https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2022/01/06/steppe-on-fire-kazakhstan-color-revolution/

Steppe in Flammen: Kasachstans farbige Revolution

Pepe Escobar

33-41 Minuten

6. Januar 2022

© Bild: REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev

Maidan in Almaty? Oh ja. Aber es ist kompliziert.

Geht es bei so viel Angst und Abscheu also nur um Gas? Nicht wirklich.

Kasachstan wurde praktisch über Nacht ins Chaos gestürzt, und zwar wegen der Verdoppelung der Preise für Flüssiggas, die das (russische) Äquivalent von 20 Rubel pro Liter erreichten (zum Vergleich: in Russland selbst liegen sie bei durchschnittlich 30 Rubel).

Dies war der Auslöser für landesweite Proteste, die sich über alle Breitengrade von der Wirtschaftsmetropole Almaty über die Häfen Aktau und Atyrau am Kaspischen Meer bis hin zur Hauptstadt Nur-Sultan, dem früheren Astana, erstreckten.

Die Zentralregierung war gezwungen, den Gaspreis auf umgerechnet 8 Rubel pro Liter zu senken. Doch das war nur der Auslöser für die nächste Phase der Proteste, in der niedrigere Lebensmittelpreise, ein Ende der Impfkampagne, ein niedrigeres Renteneintrittsalter für kinderreiche Mütter und – last but not least – ein Regimewechsel gefordert wurden, mit einem eigenen Slogan: Schal, ket! („Nieder mit dem alten Mann“).

Bei dem „alten Mann“ handelt es sich um keinen Geringeren als den 81-jährigen Staatschef Nursultan Nasarbajew, der auch nach seinem Rücktritt vom Präsidentenamt nach 29 Jahren an der Macht im Jahr 2019 praktisch immer noch die graue Eminenz Kasachstans ist, die den Sicherheitsrat leitet und über die Innen- und Außenpolitik entscheidet.

Die Aussicht auf eine weitere Farbrevolution drängt sich unweigerlich auf: vielleicht Türkis-Gelb – in Anlehnung an die Farben der kasachischen Nationalflagge. Zumal aufmerksame Beobachter herausfanden, dass die üblichen Verdächtigen – die amerikanische Botschaft – bereits am 16. Dezember 2021 vor Massenprotesten „warnten“.

Maidan in Almaty? Oh ja. Aber es ist kompliziert. (…)

Der vollständige Artikel und das englische Original findet sich hier:

thesaker.is

Why did Russia deploy so many forces against NATO?

The Saker 7-9 Minuten 23.11.2021
Source: https://thesaker.is/why-did-russia-deploy-so-many-forces-against-nato/


So those evil vodka-soaked Russians are deploying their forces right near the Ukrainian border and are about to attack.  Right?

Well, today I want to begin by sharing a few very basic maps with you.  First, here is a map of Russia with her military districts:

The most important thing to understand is that the city of Moscow is located in the middle of the Western Military District which, in other words, means that Moscow is located on in frontier/border/boundary (приграничный) MD. (…)

Taliban faces US destabilization from within

Taliban faces US destabilization from within – by Bhadrakumar

US intelligence has made deep ingresses into the Taliban and will try to splinter, weaken and subdue it when the crunch time comes

(…)

Indeed, Moscow’s stance on the question of recognition of the new Afghan government is vital for its stability. It is abundantly clear by now that the US will do whatever it takes to ensure that the new government does not gain traction.

The Pentagon is gearing up to wreak vengeance on the Taliban for the humiliating defeat in the war. As to whether there is any possibility for the US to coordinate with the Taliban in the fight against ISIS-K, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin has been evasive, whereas common sense would dictate that the Taliban are an existential enemy of the ISIS-K. 

What this implies is that the US intends first to cripple the Afghan government financially through sanctions, freezing of assets, denial of access to international banking, etc, and then bypass it and proceed to do pretty much what it wants to do with scant regard for Afghanistan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

An analysis by the Brookings Institution on Tuesday was titled Will the Taliban regime survive? The analysis says the Taliban’s “challenge of maintaining cohesiveness across its many different factions of varied ideological intensity and material interests is tougher now that it is in power. 

“The factions have disparate views about how the new regime should rule across just about all dimensions of governance: inclusiveness, dealing with foreign fighters, the economy, and external relations. Many middle-level battlefield commanders – younger, more plugged into global jihadi networks, and without personal experience of the Taliban’s mismanaged 1990s rule – are more hardline than key older national and provincial leaders.”

(…)

Source: https://asiatimes.com/2021/09/taliban-faces-us-destabilization-from-within/

Insider view: the tragedy of the US Deep State

http://thesaker.is/insider-view-the-tragedy-of-the-us-deep-state/

Insider view: the tragedy of the US Deep State

May 12, 2021 10 Comments

By Pepe Escobar with cross-postings

Henry Kissinger, 97, Henry the K. for those he keeps close, is either a Delphic oracle-style strategic thinker or a certified war criminal for those kept not so close.

He now seems to have been taking time off his usual Divide and Rule stock in trade – advising the combo behind POTUS, a.k.a. Crash Test Dummy – to emit some realpolitik pearls of wisdom.

At a recent forum in Arizona, referring to the festering, larger than life Sino-American clash, Henry the K. said, “It’s the biggest problem for America; it’s the biggest problem for the world. Because if we can’t solve that, then the risk is that all over the world a kind of cold war will develop between China and the United States.”

In realpolitik terms, this “kind of Cold War” is already on; across the Beltway, China is unanimously regarded as the premier US national security threat.

Kissinger added US policy toward China must be a mix of stressing US “principles” to demand China’s respect and dialogue to find areas of cooperation: “I’m not saying that diplomacy will always lead to beneficial results…This is the complex task we have… Nobody has succeeded in doing it completely.”

Henry the K. actually must have lost the – diplomatic – plot. What Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov are now involved in, full time, is to demonstrate – mostly to the Global South – how the American-enforced “rules-based international order” has absolutely nothing to do with international law and the respect of national sovereignty.

At first I had archived these Henry the K. platitudes out of sight. But then someone who used to hold a stellar position at the top of the US Deep State showed he had been paying close attention.

This personality – let’s call him Mr. S. – has been one of my invaluable, trustworthy sources since the early 2000s. Mutual confidence was always key. I asked him if I could publish selected passages of his analysis, not naming names. Consent was given – ruefully. So fasten your seat belts. (…)