Kasachstans Rolle im Rahmen der Neuen Seidenstrasse – Stellvertreterkrieg gegen Russland und China — CO-OP NEWS

Kasachstans wichtiger Beitrag in Eurasien sowohl für Russland als auch für China im Rahmen der Belt-and-Road-Initiative. Wichtig auch für China wegen der immensen Öl- und Gasressourcen. Es wird vom Westen im Stellvertreterkrieg gegen Russland und China eingesetzt. Letztlich ist es dem Westen egal, wer an der Macht ist, solange Chaos herrscht.

Kasachstans Rolle im Rahmen der Neuen Seidenstrasse – Stellvertreterkrieg gegen Russland und China — CO-OP NEWS

KenFM am Telefon: Dr. Daniele Ganser über Öl-Pipelines und Krieg in Syrien

Veröffentlicht am 20.09.2016
„Merkel betreibt Luftaufklärung für Al-Qaida“

„Um was geht es in Syrien? Die Antwort ist so simpel, dass man sich fragen muss, wie es den Massenmedien bisher gelingen konnte, die Bevölkerungen des Westens derart einzuseifen und zu verwirren, dass auch in Deutschland der unmittelbare Zusammenhang zwischen offenen Grenzen, Flüchtlingswellen, „Wir schaffen das“-Politik und dem Krieg in Syrien nicht gesehen wird.

Dieses Interview mit dem Schweizer Historiker Dr. Daniele Ganser bringt die Fakten derart klar auf den Punkt, dass im Anschluss des Gesprächs jeder, wirklich jeder diese angeblich hochkomplexe Gemengelage kapiert hat.

Im Kern geht es im Syrienkrieg um das größte Erdgasfeld der Welt, das sich im persischen Golf befindet. Dieses Feld anzubohren bringt wenig, solange das Gas nicht auf dem Weltmarkt verkauft werden kann. Ein Multi-Milliarden-Geschäft. Katar und Iran planen daher konkurrierende Pipelines, die beide durch Syrien führen.
Als der syrische Präsident Bashar al-Assad sich für den Bau der iranischen Pipeline und damit gegen die der Kataris entschied, wurde in Übersee ein Regime-Change beschlossen.

Der illegale Angriffskrieg ins Syrien ist ein Energiekrieg, bei dem das Team der Aggressoren sich aus den sunnitischen Staaten Katar, Saudi-Arabien und den NATO-Ländern USA, Frankreich, England und Deutschland zusammensetzt.

Das schiitisch regierte Syrien, das geografisch für die Streckenführung von Pipelines Richtung Europa im Weg ist, konnte die Allianz der Überfallenden bisher nur deshalb parieren, da hinter Damaskus neben dem schiitischen Iran auch Russland steht.

Deutschland beteiligt sich, so Dr. Daniele Ganser, erneut an einem illegalen Angriffskrieg, verletzt mit seinen Tornado-Aufklärungsflügen den Luftraum eines souveränen Staates und liefert die Daten dann an die am Boden agierenden „gemäßigten Rebellen“. Unter ihnen sind u.a. Mitglieder der Al-Nusra-Front, die sich wiederum als Teil von Al-Qaida verstehen.

Wer allein diesen Umstand zu Ende denkt, kommt wie Dr. Daniele Ganser zu folgendem Ergebnis: „Merkel betreibt Luftaufklärung für Al-Qaida“.

Wie lange können die Massenmedien in Deutschland diese unfassbaren Fakten der Bevölkerung noch vorenthalten? Dr. Ganser wird zu diesem Thema am 2., 4. und 5. Dezember Vorträge zum Thema im Babylon Berlin halten, um einen Teil zur Aufklärung beizutragen.“

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geopolitics — Northern Route outpaces Southern Route; Natural Gas Europe, Sep 21, 2015

http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/northern-route-outpaces-southern-25399
Natural Gas Europe – News & Analysis on European Natural Gas Matters, Sep 21, 2015

Northern Route outpaces Southern Route

The Nord Stream 2 pipeline project is approaching a final deal as Gazprom and its EU partners have been dealing with loose ends. On the 5th of September in the Eastern Economic Forum of Vladivostok, the Russian gas company and its partners, namely: E.ON, BASF/Wintershall, OMV, Royal Dutch Shell, Engie agreed on percentages for each one for this route. Thus, Gazprom will lead the project with a 51% share, whilst the rest of the participants will get 10%, barring French Engie receives 9%.

This project is of outmost importance in circumventing Ukraine’s highly unstable territory and be able to deliver around 55 bcm per annum directly into EU markets. Together with Nord Stream 1 and an additional 55 bcm yearly capacity, Northern EU states and primarily Germany are clearly leading the way in the pan-European natural gas market and strive to reap considerable profits in the coming decades as the primal redistribution hub for gas across the Continent.

Amongst things to consider is that this route is being supported by the major energy companies of the states of Germany, France, the UK, Austria and Russia in a clear sign of defiance of Cold War geopolitical logic that has gripped most EU countries due to the Ukrainian crisis since early 2014. Moreover, it leverages the Russian diplomatic position vis-a-vis Kiev which stands to lose at least 2 billion euros per year from transit fees, and most importantly, its strongest leverage both against Moscow and the rest of the European countries. Concurrently a summit including the heads of states of Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany, will take place in early October 2015 in Paris to discuss an end to the crisis. The Nord Stream 2 project plays a crucial role in ending the brinkmanship by establishing a new „energy security order“ in the Continent.

Furthermore this new agreement neutralizes the Turk Stream project which in essence was the Southern-leg of the Ukrainian by-pass. Since large consumers for the Russian gas are to be found in Central-North and West Europe and the quantities to be transferred are rather fixed for the foreseeable future, a project that will deliver an envisaged 63 bcm such as Turk Stream was planned, seems unreasonable and could be even be considered non-realistic. (…)

Geopolitics-Northern-Route-outpaces-Southern150921.pdf

Putin’s New Gas Strategy Actually Makes Sense – JAN 22, 2015 – Marc Champion

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-01-22/putin-s-new-gas-strategy-actually-makes-sense

PDF: Report-South-Stream-Cancellation2015Jan

RUSSIA
Putin’s New Gas Strategy Actually Makes Sense
JAN 22, 2015 11:41 AM EST
By Marc Champion

When Russia canceled a planned pipeline to deliver natural gas to Europe across the Black Sea last month and said it would redirect the project to Turkey, some thought it was a bluff, others a sign of financial weakness and still others a rebuke to the West over Ukraine as President Vladimir Putin turned elsewhere to look for new partners.
In reality, the change made good commercial sense and should have happened years ago, according to a new report (1) by some of the most knowledgeable people on Russia’s gas industry.

The shift also means that Gazprom, Russia’s state-controlled gas company, won’t be able to completely cut Ukraine out of the transit business, as the original South Stream pipeline had sought to do, for years to come. And, the authors might have added, the new arrangement is healthier for Europe, too.

The cancellation of South Stream is part of a broader change of strategy for Gazprom that plays to the company’s strengths, say Jonathan Stern, Simon Pirani and Katja Yafimava at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

The previous strategy to acquire distribution networks deep in EU markets. And while the report’s authors are more cautious, this was also in part politically motivated. It was meant to exert Russian political power as much as to make profits for Gazprom, which is one reason the European Union drew up regulations to obstruct it.

South Stream was expensive — conservatively priced at about $20 billion and by some estimates as much as $65 billion. It never made commercial sense, even when EU demand for gas was projected to soar and Gazprom controlled prices by negotiating separate long-term contracts with individual buyers.

Today, Gazprom faces new price competition from spot markets at gas hubs around the EU. Plus, new EU rules — some still being written — would force Gazprom to open up its European pipelines to other suppliers and distributors.

The Ukraine crisis prompted EU officials to move aggressively against South Stream for not complying with the new rules. And collapsing oil prices (to which long-term gas contracts are tied) made the economics of South Stream look even worse. Eventually, Gazprom pulled the plug.

The company then proposed redirecting the pipeline project to Turkey, its second-largest customer in Europe and the only European market projected to grow strongly. The gas Turkey now gets via Ukraine would come direct from Russia. And any additional amounts could be taken to a hub at Turkey’s EU border and sold.

Nevertheless, Gazprom would still need to send substantial amounts of gas to Europe through Ukraine until at the very least 2020, according to the Oxford report.
It’s by now clear that Gazprom’s pivot to Turkey was not a bluff, even if negotiations on price and the pipeline’s route continue. Gazprom has already allocated resources to the Turkish project.

Nor was the South Stream decision based only on cost. That couldn’t explain why Gazprom hired two barges and 200 personnel to start laying pipes on the seabed, Stern and his team said.

Other decisions taken at about the same time suggest a bigger shift at play:

Gazprom abandoned efforts to buy 100 percent of the Opal gas pipeline, which lies entirely within Germany. It also walked away (2) from advanced talks on an asset swap that would have given more extraction assets in Western Siberia to the Wintershall unit of BASF Group, in exchange for Gazprom’s full ownership of the German company’s interest in a domestic storage and trading business in Germany.

Not long before, Gazprom had finally agreed on terms to supply piped gas to China and iced its plans to develop terminals to export liquid natural gas. Putin sold that move as punishment for the EU and proof he could find alternative markets. But in essence, Gazprom is returning to the business it knows better than anyone else and the one it can more easily afford: extracting and delivering natural gas through pipelines.

Russia’s gas giant no longer has ambitions to own the whole extraction-to-European-consumer chain, or to invest in expensive LNG technologies. Instead, it will have a simpler, transactional relationship with the EU in the sale and purchase of gas. And that is exactly as it should be.

To contact the author on this story:
Marc Champion at mchampion7@bloomberg.net

Notes
(1) The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, January 2015: „Does the cancellation of South Stream signal a fundamental reorientation of Russian gas export policy?“ By Jonathan Stern, Simon Pirami, Katja Yafimava;
URL: http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/Does-cancellation-of-South-Stream-signal-a-fundamental-reorientation-of-Russian-gas-export-policy-GPC-5.pdf — see attachment —
(2) https://www.basf.com/en/company/news-and-media/news-releases/2014/12/p-14-435.html

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Martin Zeis
globalcrisis/globalchange NEWS
martin.zeis@gmxpro.net