Nafeez AHMED: Die NATO beherbergt den Islamischen Staat …; Insurge Intelligence, 21.11.2015 – dt. Übers.

globalcrisis/globalchange NEWS

Martin Zeis, 25.11.2015

Aufgrund einiger Nachfragen aus den gc-Listen, ob es eine deutsche Übersetzung des gestern geposteten Textes von Nafeez AHMED „NATO is harbouring the Islamic State …“ gebe, reiche ich hier eine solche (z.T. von mir sprachlich überarbeitet) weiter. Der Text zeigt faktengesättigt wesentliche Hintergründe, Motive + Interessen der Akteure im Syrien-Konflikt auf, u.a. den Konflikt Türkei – Russland (siehe die gestrigen Ereignisse).

zum Rechercheablauf:
Unter dem Link http://www.mmnews.de/index.php/politik/59090-isis-turkei-gefahr ist heute eine Übersetzung des o.a. Textes von Nafeez AHMED ins Deutsche (mit verfälschtem Titel und gekürzt) von einem Anonymus „FritztheCat“ zu finden. Dieser Anonymus schrieb am 21.11.2015: „Ziemlich langer Artikel, obwohl ich ihn etwas gekürzt habe. Aber in der zweiten Hälfte wird endlich sehr gut das Energiespiel sichtbar. Und das miese Spiel der Türkei (der Tanz mit dem Teufel). Hoch interessant! Mit vielen Links (bis jetzt nur im Original, aber wir haben ja Dok:) Viel Spaß!
Quelle: https://propagandamelder.wordpress.com/2015/11/21/propagandameldungen-vom-21-november-2015/comment-page-1/#comment-39318

Die englische Originalfassung und die deutsche Übersetzung sind in dem beigefügten Dokument (pdf, 22 S.) verfügbar (dt. Übersetzung ab S. 11).

Grüße,
Martin Zeis

Die NATO beherbergt den Islamischen Staat
Warum Frankreichs beherzter neuer Krieg gegen ISIS ein schlechter Witz ist und eine Beleidigung für die Opfer der Anschläge in Paris. – Über Staatsterrorismus und den Pipelinekrieg –
by Nafeez Ahmed19.11.2015
Übersetzung: FritztheCat

Nafeez Mosaddeq Ahmed (1978) ist ein britischer Autor, Journalist, und Referent für internationale Sicherheit. Er ist Geschäftsführender Direktor des Instituts für Politikforschung und Entwicklung (IPRD), einem unabhängigen Think-Tank für die Untersuchung von gewalttätigen Konflikten im Zusammenhang mit der globalen Umwelt-, Energie- und Wirtschaftskrise; ein Filmemacher, der “The Crisis of Civilization” co-produziert und geschrieben und “Grasp the Nettle” co-produziert hat – beide Filme wurden von Dean Puckett gedreht. Seine wissenschaftliche Arbeit fokussiert auf die systemischen Ursachen der Massengewalt. Er hat am Fachbereich für Internationale Beziehungen der University of Sussex und am Fachbereich Politik und Geschichte der Brunel University Undergraduate- und Postgraduate-Kurse für Theorie der internationalen Beziehungen, Zeitgeschichte, Imperialismus und Globalisierung gelehrt. Er ist ein ehemaliger Umwelt-Blogger für The Guardian. Ahmed hat eine wöchentliche Kolumne im Middle East Eye, einem in London ansässigen Nachrichtenportal des Ex-Guardian Leitartiklers David Hearst und ist ‘System Shift’-Kolumnist für VICE’s Motherboard. Ahmed ist Gründer und Herausgeber von Insurge Intelligence, eines crowdfinanzierten, investigativen Journalismus-Projekts.

(…)

AHMED_Nafeez-NATO-harbouring-ISIS-engl-dt151121.pdf

Ist die verfruehte Beseitigung des IS noch abwendbar? – metainfo

Ist die verfrühte Beseitigung des IS noch abwendbar?
19.11.2015

Inzwischen ist es ein offenes Geheimnis, dass ISIS / der Islamische Staat auf Wunsch der US-Regierung entstand, und von ihren Verbuendeten: Saudi-Arabien, Qatar und der Tuerkei umfassend unterstuetzt wurde und wird. Die Golfstaaten uebernahmen dabei vor allem die Finanzierung der IS-Kaempfer mit Hunderten Millionen Dollar.

Nun fragte ein Korrespondet der CNN bei einer Pressekonferenz, wie es moeglich sein konnte, dass das US-Militaer nicht in der Lage war, den IS durch seine Einsaetze zu beseitigen.
Diese Frage konnte er stellen, da bisher ueber Sinn und Zweck des IS fuer die USA in der Oeffentlichkeit nicht oder nur selten berichtet wurde.

Dabei sind die amerikanischen Interessen klar und auch in Dokumenten Hamburgbelegt: man braucht den IS bzw. die Al Qaida-Milizen, um den syrischen Staat zu destabilisieren und Assad zu stuerzen. Die moderaten Rebellengruppen erwiesen sich bisher als zahlenmaeßig zu klein, sie desertierten meist oder schlossen sich den Verbaenden des IS oder der Al Qaida an.

Da sich inzwischen ein Druck der Weltoeffentlichkeit entwickelte, den IS unter Kontrolle zu bringen, begann das US-Militaer inzwischen damit, Angriffe auf die Terrormilizen zu fliegen.

Die Frequenz dieser Luftangriffe jedoch und die Zielgenauigkeit waren dabei so gering, dass die Aktivitaeten des IS dadurch nicht ernsthaft gestoert wurden. Militaerische Beobachter kommen zum Ergebnis, dass die Angriffe des US-Militaer gegen den IS „auf Sparflamme“ betrieben wurden.

In immer groeßerer Deutlichkeit stellt sich nun heraus, dass der IS das Produkt der USA und ihrer Verbuendeten ist, die auf diesem Weg versuchen, ihre Interessen durchzusetzen: finanziert werden IS und Al Qaida vor allem durch die Saudis und Qatar. Mit Hunderten Millionen Dollar wurden IS-Kaempfer vor allem im westlichen Irak und in Jordanien rekrutiert – meist Arbeitslose, die mit dem Sold ihre Existenz sichern, ihre Familie ernaehren wollten.

So wurden die Einnahmen aus dem Oelgeschaeft verwandelt in eine Armee von IS-Kaempfern, die immer groeßere Teile von Syrien verwuesteten.

Bisher jedoch gelang es nicht, das Ziel zu erreichen und auf diesem Weg die syrische Regierung zu stuerzen. So ist der gedrosselte Einsatz des amerikanischen Militaers nachvollziehbar, das IS und Al Qaida in Syrien nicht beseitigen will, bevor die Regierung in Damaskus gefallen ist.

Putin wies den Amerikanern auf dem G20-Gipfel, der kuerzlich abgehalten wurde, nach, dass es ihren Bemuehungen im Kampf gegen den IS an Ernsthaftigkeit fehlte: er praesentierte Satelliten-Fotos, auf denen mehr als 1000 Tankwagen des IS zu erkennen waren. Diese transportierten das auf dem Gebiet des IS gefoerderte Oel im Irak zum Verkauf, ohne dass sich das US-Militaer darum bemuehte, sie aufzuhalten, was ein Leichtes gewesen waere.

Damit hielten die Amerikaner ihre schuetzende Hand ueber eine der wichtigsten Einnahmequellen des IS. Darueberhinaus setzten sie die irakische Regierung unter Druck, damit diese nicht den Russen erlaubte, auch hier Angriffe zu fliegen. Somit blieben bisher aufgrund der freundlichen Nachlaessigkeit des US-Militaers dem IS die Finanzmittel aus dem Oelgeschaeft erhalten. Erst nachdem Putin die Beweisfotos vorlegte, flog die US-Luftwaffe einen Einsatz gegen die Oelschmuggler – erstmals nach einem Jahr militaerischer Aktivitaeten gegen den IS.

Und ein weiteres Detail des Oelschmuggel offenbarte sich: der Handel mit dem geschmuggelten Oel des IS wurde abgewickelt duech Bilal Erdogan, einen Sohn des tuerkischen Praesidenten.

Die europaeischen Regierungen haben dies Spiel der Verzoegerungstaktik, bei der man IS- und Al Qaida Terrormilizen gewaehren ließ, bisher mitgespielt.

Man hoffte auch auf die Ergebnisse der mittelfristigen Zermuerbung des Landes aufgrund der Vertreibung großer Teile der Bevoelkerung durch den Terror der Al Qaida und des IS. Seit den Anschlaegen auf Paris scheint nun jedoch das Ende der Geduld erreicht zu sein: die franzoesische Regierung unter Hollande scheint nun entschlossen zu sein, gemeinsam mit den Russen, dem Spuk des IS ein Ende zu bereiten – sollte dies von den amerikanischen Freunden zugelassen werden.

https://www.rt.com/op-edge/322613-russia-isis-anti-terrorism-operation-syria/

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-18/russia-explains-clueless-us-public-why-obama-cant-defeat-isis

http://www.thenation.com/article/what-i-discovered-from-interviewing-isis-prisoners/

Alexander MERCOURIS; The Syrian War and Russia’s Diplomatic Play; RI, Oct 9, 2015

globalcrisis/globalchange NEWS
Martin Zeis, 09.10.2015

http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/syrian-war-and-russias-diplomatic-play/ri10358
The Syrian War and Russia’s Diplomatic Play
By Alexander MERCOURIS

Transcript* of meeting between Putin and Defence Minister Shoigu shows how Russia is holding on to the diplomatic initiative to support its military campaign

* see: http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/50458

E x c e r p t

… The transcript does nonetheless provide us with much information.
Firstly, the transcript gives an insight into the sort of targets the Russians have been attacking.
The primary target is the infrastructure the Islamic State and the other jihadi groups have created to support their military campaign against the Syrian government. In Shoigu’s words “command posts, ammunition depots, military hardware, and training camps for their fighters.”
It is the Islamic State and the jihadi rebels’ resources to conduct the war, rather than their fighters, who are the primary target.
The Russians are not out to kill lots of jihadis. They are focused on destroying the Islamic State’s and the jihadis’ ability to wage war, so that the Russians and their allies can win it.
This is in keeping with the aim of the operation: to support an offensive by the Syrian army. The Syrians say it has now begun. Doubtless now that it has begun, the Russians will also provide close air support. The transcript says that Putin has already been informed of plans involving the conduct of the Syrian offensive – showing that it is being carefully coordinated with the Russians.

The main emphasis of the discussion between Putin and Shoigu was however the political and diplomatic effort underway to support the military campaign.
Westerners may be surprised to find Putin discussing political and diplomatic questions with his Defence Minister – as opposed to say his Foreign Minister or his intelligence chiefs.
However this is consistent with the way the Russians conduct war.
They see war as an all-encompassing activity in which every instrument available to the state – diplomatic, military or economic – is used to achieve victory. Reducing war to its purely military aspects – as Western leaders too often do – is not the Russian way.

This means that when the Russians decide to wage war, they prepare carefully, and work hard to support their military with intense diplomatic activity. (…)

What comes over clearly from Putin’s discussion with Shoigu is the range of diplomatic contacts the Russians are engaging in.
They are talking to everybody, not just their allies but also to those who might be considered their adversaries: the US, the Turks, the Israelis and the Saudis and they are doing so moreover all the time. Dr. Gilbert Doctorow has described Moscow as a “hive of activity”, and he is right.
Doing so enables the Russians to know what is in their potential adversaries’ minds and – ideally – to keep them divided and off-balance, preventing an anti-Russian coalition such as the one they faced in Afghanistan in the 1980s from being formed.

Thus instead of the Russians engaging publicly in a row with the Turks over airspace violations – which might cause Turkish opposition to the Russian campaign to harden – the Turks are placated with an apology, and an offer – which they have accepted – of a direct link to the Russian command to reduce the risk of more violations.

Hollande’s fantasy of an anti-Islamic State alliance between the Syrian army and the rebel Free Syrian Army is treated seriously, though Putin cannot resist a dig (“True, we do not know yet where this army is and who heads it”).
The Russians know perfectly well that Hollande’s proposal is a fantasy. However, by going through the motions of considering it – and making the fact public – they save Hollande’s face, and make themselves look reasonable.

US complaints that the Russians are not striking the Islamic State but are striking “moderate” rebels are countered with the request – made with all the appearance of a straight face – that the US tell them where the “real terrorists” are – though here again Putin cannot resist a dig (“It is fair enough if they say they know the situation better because they have been conducting operations in this territory (on an unlawful basis, as I have said) for more than a year now”).
Again the Russians know perfectly well the US will not share intelligence with them. They have said their discussions with the US are at a purely “technical” level. However by making the request they keep the US on the back foot, and again make themselves look reasonable.

The Russian tactics are working. Despite the anger in Western capitals, there is no sign of an anti-Russian coalition coming together.
Meanwhile, the really important discussions, those the Russians are having with the Iranians, the Iraqis, the Syrians and – above all – the Chinese, are being kept secret. Putin and Shoigu tell us nothing about them – which proves that they are the ones that really matter.
— emphasis, m.z. —

Interview von weltnetz.tv mit Elizabeth Murray und Ray McGovern

Veröffentlicht am 24.09.2015

Interview von weltnetz.tv mit Elizabeth Murray (ehemalige Offizierin im National Inteligence Council) und Ray McGovern (ehemaliger CIA-Analyst und Russlandspezialist) über Whistleblower, den Einfluss von Geheimdiensten auf politische Entscheidungen und Drohnenkriege.

geopolitics — F.W. ENGDAHL: OPEC, Russia and the New World Order Emerging; New Eastern Outlook (NEO), Sep 16, 2015

http://journal-neo.org/2015/09/16/opec-russia-and-the-emerging-new-world-order-emerging/
— full text attached —

OPEC, Russia and the New World Order Emerging
By F. William ENGDAHL

By the day it’s becoming clearer that what I have recently been saying in my writings is coming to be. The OPEC oil-producing states of the Middle East, including Iran, through the skillful mediation of Russia, are carefully laying the foundations for a truly new world order. The first step in testing this will be if they collectively succeed in eliminating the threat to Syria of the Islamic State, and prepare the basis for serious, non-manipulated elections there. (…)

In the political, more accurately geo-political sphere, we are now witnessing huge tectonic motion, and destructive it is not. It involves a new attractive force drawing the Middle East OPEC countries, including Saudi Arabia and Iran and other Arab OPEC countries, into what will soon become obvious as a strategic partner-ship with the Russian Federation. It transcends the huge religious divides today between Sunni Wahhabism, Sufi, Shi’ism, Orthodox Christianity.
That tectonic motion will soon cause a political earthquake that well might save the planet from extinction by the endless wars the Pentagon and their string pullers on Wall Street and the military industrial complex and the loveless oligarchs who own them seem to have as their only strategy today.

Russia in OPEC?
In an interview with the London Financial Times, Russia’s most important oilman, Igor Sechin, CEO of the state-owned Rosneft, confirmed rumors that Saudi Arabia’s monarchy is seeking a formal market-share agreement with Russia, even going so far as offering Russia membership in OPEC, to stabilize world oil markets. In the interview, Sechin, considered one of President Vladimir Putin’s closest allies, con-firmed the Saudi offer. The Financial Times (FT) is an influential media owned until this past July by the Pearson Group an asset tied to the Rothschild family who his-torically also dominate Royal Dutch Shell.
The London paper chose to emphasize Sechin’s rejection of the Saudi offer. How-ever, most instructive is to read between the lines of what he said. He told a Singa-pore commodities conference organized by the FT, “It needs to be recognised that Opec’s ‘golden age’ in the oil market has been lost. They fail to observe their own quotas [for Opec oil output]. If quotas had been observed, global oil markets would have been rebalanced by now.”
Sechin well knows the background to the Saudi oil price war and the fact it was triggered by a meeting between US State Department’s John Kerry and the late Sau-di King Abdullah in the desert Kingdom in September 2014, where Kerry reportedly urged the Saudis to crash oil prices. For Kerry the aim was to put unbearable pres-sure on Russia, then hit by US and EU financial sanctions. For the Saudis, it was a golden opportunity to eliminate the biggest disturbing factor in the OPEC domination of world oil markets–the booming production of US unconventional shale oil that had made the USA the world’s largest oil producer in 2014.
Ironically, as Sechin told the FT, the US-Saudi deal and the US financial sanc-tions have backfired on the US strategists. The Russian ruble lost more than 50% of its dollar value by January 2015. Oil prices similarly fell from $103 a barrel in Sep-tember 2014 to less than $50 today. But Russian oil production costs are calculated in rubles, not dollars. So, as Sechin states, the dollar cost of Rosneft oil produc-tion has dropped dramatically today from $5 a barrel before the sanctions to only $3 a barrel, a level similar to that of Arab OPEC producers like Saudi Arabia. Rosneft is not hurting despite sanctions. USA shale oil by contrast is unconventional and vastly more costly. Industry estimates depending on the shale field and the company, put costs of shale in a range of $60-80 a barrel just to break even. The current ongoing shakeout in the US shale industry and prospects of rising US interest rates dictate the demise of shale oil from the US for years if not decades to come as Wall Street lenders and shale company junk bond investors suffer huge losses.

Unknotting the ‘not’ knot (…) — emphasis m.z. —

ENGDAHL-OPEC+Russia150916.pdf

zerohedge, Aug 31, 2015 — Russian Military Forces Arrive In Syria, Set Forward Operating Base Near Damascus

globalcrisis/globalchange NEWS
Martin Zeis, 01.09.2015

zerohedge, Aug 31, 2015 — http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-31/russian-military-forces-arrive-syria-set-forward-operating-base-near-damascus

Russian Military Forces Arrive In Syria, Set Forward Operating Base Near Damascus

While military direct intervention by US, Turkish, and Gulf forces over Syrian soil escalates with every passing day, even as Islamic State forces capture increasingly more sovereign territory, in the central part of the country, the Nusra Front dominant in the northwestern region province of Idlib and the official „rebel“ forces in close proximity to Damascus, the biggest question on everyone’s lips has been one: would Putin abandon his protege, Syria’s president Assad, to western „liberators“ in the process ceding control over Syrian territory which for years had been a Russian national interest as it prevented the passage of regional pipelines from Qatar and Saudi Arabia into Europe, in the process eliminating Gazprom’s – and Russia’s – influence over the continent.

As recently as a month ago, the surprising answer appeared to be an unexpected „yes“, as we described in detail in „The End Draws Near For Syria’s Assad As Putin’s Patience „Wears Thin.“ (1) Which would make no sense: why would Putin abdicate a carefully cultivated relationship, one which served both sides (Russia exported weapons, provides military support, and in exchange got a right of first and only refusal on any traversing pipelines through Syria) for years, just to take a gamble on an unknown future when the only aggressor was a jihadist spinoff which had been created as byproduct of US intervention in the region with the specific intention of achieving precisely this outcome: overthrowing Assad (see „Secret Pentagon Report Reveals US „Created“ ISIS As A „Tool“ To Overthrow Syria’s President Assad„). (2)

As it turns out, it may all have been just a ruse. Because as Ynet reports, not only has Putin not turned his back on Assad, or Syria, but the Russian reinforcements are well on their way. (3) Reinforcements for what? Why to fight the evil Islamic jihadists from ISIS of course, the same artificially created group of bogeyman that the US, Turkey, and Saudis are all all fighting. In fact, this may be the first world war in which everyone is „fighting“ an opponent that everyone knows is a proxy for something else. (…)

It gets better: if what Ynet reports is accurate, Iran’s brief tenure as Obama’s BFF in the middle east is about to expire:

Western diplomatic sources recently reported that a series of negotiations had been held between the Russians and the Iranians, mainly focusing on ISIS and the threat it poses to the Assad regime. The infamous Iranian Quds Force commander Major General Qasem Soleimani recently visited Moscow in the framework of these talks. As a result the Russians and the Iranians reached a strategic decision: Make any effort necessary to preserve Assad’s seat of power, so that Syria may act as a barrier, and prevent the spread of ISIS and Islamist backed militias into the former Soviet Islamic republics.

See: the red herring that is ISIS can be used just as effectively for defensive purposes as for offensive ones. And since the US can’t possibly admit the whole situation is one made up farce, it is quite possible that the world will witness its first regional war when everyone is fighting a dummy, proxy enemy which doesn’t really exist, when in reality everyone is fighting everyone else! (…)

zerohedge-Russian-Military-Forces-arrive-Syria150831.pdf